Introduction
In December of last year, I argued Bank of America’s (NYSE:BAC) non-callable preferred shares were a good idea to speculate on a rate cut (and on decreasing interest rates on the financial markets). So far, the investment has done what I expected it to do. Bank of America continued to make the quarterly preferred dividend payments while the share price is currently approximately 10% higher for a total return of around 15% in the past eight months. As Bank of America recently released its Q2 results, I wanted to make sure my investment thesis for the Series L preferred shares is still valid.
Bank of America obviously remained very profitable
Whenever I look at preferred shares, I want to double check the preferred dividends still enjoy an excellent coverage ratio.
As you can see in the image below, Bank of America reported a slightly lower net interest income compared to the same quarter a year ago, while there also was a slight decrease on a QoQ basis. That being said, the bank’s non-interest income increased by in excess of $600M on a year-over-year basis, while the total amount of non-interest expenses increased by just over $270M and this almost entirely compensated for the lower net interest income.
That being said, Bank of America’s pre-tax income did come in lower than in the same quarter last year, mainly because the bank increased the amount it has been setting aside for loan loss provisions. A you can see, the total amount increased by approximately $400M and while some other authors can sound very “alarmist” on these matters, it pretty much is the normal course of doing business for banks. During tougher economic times it makes sense to see higher provisions and once the dust settles it happens quite often that banks can recoup some of the provisions they recorded.
In any case, Bank of America recorded a net profit of almost $6.9 billion and after taking the $315M in preferred dividends into account, the net profit attributable to the common shareholders was just under $6.6B. This indicates the preferred dividends are very well-covered as the bank needed less than 5% of its net income to cover the preferred dividends.
The Series L preferred shares are living up to the expectations
As explained in previous articles, the Series L, trading with (NYSE:BAC.PR.L) as ticker symbol, is a so-called “busted” preferred which cannot be called by Bank of America. The owner of the preferred shares has the option to convert the shares into 20 common shares, and if the underlying shares are trading at$65/share, Bank of America may force the conversion.
But as the common shares are trading at around $40/share, the likelihood of a forced conversion to happen in the next few years is quite low (the share price would have to increase by in excess of 60% from the current share price). And even if that would happen, the owners of the preferred shares would receive at least $1,300 in common shares (20 times $65) of Bank of America. Considering the preferred shares are currently trading at around $1,240, there would be a capital gain of approximately 5% if that would happen, so it’s definitely not a disastrous scenario.
Meanwhile, those preferred shares offer a 7.25% preferred dividend based on the $1,000 principal value of the security. This means that at the current share price of around $1240, this series of preferred equity yields approximately 5.85%. That’s about 203 bps above the 10 year US Treasury Note (which, granted, is an arbitrary comparable as there is no definitive maturity date for the preferred shares).
Investment thesis
The fixed rate preferred shares Series L issued by Bank of America are doing exactly what I expected them to do: Thanks to lower interest rates on the financial markets and the likelihood of seeing additional benchmark rate cuts (which should lead to even lower interest rates on the markets), the stock is already trading about 10% higher than where it was at last December.
I have a long position in the “busted” preferred shares of Wells Fargo and the Series L preferred shares of Bank of America as I like the dual exposure to both income and the potential to generate capital gains.
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